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Kalshi vs DraftKings Predictions

"extracting short term value from predatory betting companies in a way that is unique in the space that doesn't exist yet."

If you deposit $10: Kalshi returns an estimated $0 in true value from $0 in bonus; DraftKings Predictions returns an estimated $180 from $200 in bonus. At $50: Kalshi $22.5, DraftKings Predictions $180. Estimates use the site model (playthrough at a 10% hold, expiry haircut) — the method is stated on the maximizer page.

refreshed 2026-10-25 03:02 UTCfree-first ranking
KalshiDraftKings Predictions
Signup offerTrade $25, Get $25 (std; NYPMAX2000 to $2000 volume tier)Trade $5, Get $200 in Predictions Dollars (paid $50 + $50/week x 3 via click-to-claim)
Est. cash value$12–$14$75–$90
Referral economics$25 per referral, 40 max ($1,000 cap)$25 per friend (spends $5+), cap 5
Minimum deposit—$5
Playthrough——
Payout speedBank 3-4d; debit 30min ($2)Unverified
CaliforniaYESYES
App rating4.82unverified

Welcome offer at $10 and $50

DepositKalshiDraftKings Predictions
$10 deposit$0 bonus → est. $0$200 bonus → est. $180
$50 deposit$25 bonus → est. $22.5$200 bonus → est. $180

Their record, side by side

Kalshi

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public code: NYPMAX2000
Public offer — no referral attached. Terms verified 2026-10-09.

DraftKings Predictions

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Public offer — no referral attached. Terms verified 2026-10-17.

Questions

Which is better, Kalshi or DraftKings Predictions?

On welcome-offer math at a $10 deposit, DraftKings Predictions is ahead ($180 estimated true value vs $0). The full side-by-side is in the table on this page; the offers differ in playthrough and expiry, not just size.

Can I claim both Kalshi and DraftKings Predictions?

Yes. Signup bonuses are one per platform, and claiming both is the normal pattern. Never open a second account on either platform to re-claim. The ladder page sequences claims across all platforms.

What is the minimum deposit for Kalshi and DraftKings Predictions?

Kalshi: —. DraftKings Predictions: $5. Figures are from the terms checked on 2026-10-09 and 2026-10-17.


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